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LEE

Small Caps Exit Shelter

Last Week: In our May 18 Kuby’s Commentary (Happy Birthday Brooke Kuby) we noted the extraordinarily difficult year small cap stocks were having, posting more than double the S&P 500’s decline. In an attempt to “accentuate the positive”, we suggested that “when...

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Market Takes it’s Temperature, Not Sick Yet

Last Week: The rally resumed as the S&P 500 gained 1.58% to close at another new record high. Most of the action took place on Monday and the first hour of trading on Tuesday, as stocks recovered their losses from the previous Friday and then tacked on an...

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Rally Interrupted on Repeat

Last Week: I could just repost last week’s commentary and just change the specific numbers as the storyline was essentially a rerun. In fact, I will: The stock market party was disrupted as the Coronavirus upset the apple cart. Corporate earnings reports were strong...

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Upward Momentum Continues

Last Week: P=MV P=Momentum M=Mass V=Velocity The S&P 500 set another record on Thursday, as the upward momentum powered stocks through the destabilizing news flow from the Middle East. A minor sell-off on Friday following a tepid jobs report left the S&P 500...

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2020: The Year of the Lion?

Last Week: The S&P 500 inched up 0.58% on extremely light volume to close at another record high. Small and Mid cap stocks drifted fractionally lower, and the yield on the Ten-Year Treasury slipped 5 basis points to 1.87%. There were a few reasons for good cheer....

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Bulls Run Wild

Last Week: The FOMOTINA Rally (Fear of Missing Out There Is No Alternative) kicked into high gear, with U.S. stocks hitting record closing highs again on Friday and the S&P 500 registering a 1.65% gain, its biggest weekly rise since early September. The rally was...

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Dream Week for Value Stocks

Last Week: Treasury yields rose sharply during the week after signs that U.S. consumer spending remained strong and on receding trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Additionally, both the CPI and PPI showed some signs of inflation.  The “Crowd” got caught all-in...

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Not So Very Merry Month of May

Last Week: The focus was clearly on trade issues, with bad news bookends from China and Mexico. Early in the week China indicated that it would retaliate to recent U.S. actions by using its 80% dominance of rare-earth metals used in high tech gear. Technology shares...

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Just Another Manic Monday

Last Week: The “candid and constructive” tweet rally from the previous Friday was short-lived as hopes of a trade deal evaporated by Monday morning after China said it would raise tariffs on U.S. goods and President Trump signed an executive order banning...

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Predictable Pattern Persists

Last Week: One of George Carlin’s best comedy routines was the insight from the Hippy Dippy Weatherman that the forecast for tonight would be dark. With continued dark overnight with widely scattered light by morning. Over the past two months, market gurus have been...

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Pessimism

Last Week: Pessimism has taken root, as the impact of the “trade war” on global economies has become manifest. In a sporting contest there is usually a winner and a loser. You strategize to beat your opponent. Global trade is not a sporting contest. Quite to the...

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TINA has Left The House

Last Week: “TINA”, which stands for there is no alternative (to equities), has been the battle cry for the bulls during this nine- plus year rally in the market. The gamble by the Federal Reserve that pushing short-term risk-free interest rates down to zero percent...

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